The Amateur currently narrowly beats Ballerina 51–49
Two 2025 action films in a dead heat — franchise spinoff versus original thriller.
The Verdict Class of 2025
The tie at 49 to 51 neutralizes Ballerina's franchise advantage and puts both films on equal footing, which is The Amateur's quiet victory. Wiseman's Wick spinoff arrives with brand expectations and an audience that already knows what it wants. Hawes's spy thriller arrives with nothing but its own execution. Parity between those positions means The Amateur is overperforming its structural ceiling or Ballerina is underperforming its franchise floor. At 53 votes, both readings are plausible. What's clear is that the Wick brand alone isn't enough to separate these films in the bracket.
The Numbers
| Ballerina | The Amateur | |
|---|---|---|
| Head-to-Head | 49% | 51% |
| Overall Win Rate | 55% | 53% |
| Championships | 14 | 20 |
| Avg Decision | 1.9s | 1.4s |
| Budget | $90M | $60M |
| Box Office | $137M | $96M |
Where This Matchup Sits
Out of 57 2020s films on the platform, Ballerina is in the top quarter and The Amateur is in the upper half.
A 1.8-point gap is as close to a tie as bracket voting produces. The result here says more about the moment than about either film.
The Amateur gets chosen fast (1.1s). Ballerina gets chosen slowly (3.2s). Both choices are valid — they're just coming from different places.
53 voters can't agree
This matchup is split 49–51.
Play the bracket and break the tie.
Where to Watch
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