Ballerina currently edges The Amateur 52–48
Two 2025 action films in a dead heat — franchise spinoff versus original thriller.
The Verdict Class of 2025
The tie at 52 to 48 neutralizes Ballerina's franchise advantage and puts both films on equal footing, which is The Amateur's quiet victory. Wiseman's Wick spinoff arrives with brand expectations and an audience that already knows what it wants. Hawes's spy thriller arrives with nothing but its own execution. Parity between those positions means The Amateur is overperforming its structural ceiling or Ballerina is underperforming its franchise floor. At 46 votes, both readings are plausible. What's clear is that the Wick brand alone isn't enough to separate these films in the bracket.
The Numbers
| Ballerina | The Amateur | |
|---|---|---|
| Head-to-Head | 52% | 48% |
| Overall Win Rate | 51% | 51% |
| Championships | 7 | 14 |
| Avg Decision | 0.8s | 0.8s |
| Budget | $90M | $60M |
| Box Office | $137M | $96M |
Where This Matchup Sits
BingeBracket has 43 films from the 2020s. Both land somewhere in the middle.
When matched against other films, The Amateur can handle STRAW but Ballerina can't. What one film wins comfortably, the other loses.
Within tournaments, the dynamic shifts as the bracket deepens: Ballerina performs better in later rounds while The Amateur fades when the competition narrows.
The Amateur gets chosen fast (0.5s). Ballerina gets chosen slowly (0.8s). Both choices are valid — they're just coming from different places.
46 voters can't agree
This matchup is split 52–48.
Play the bracket and break the tie.
Where to Watch
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