Sinners
Sinners doesn't have favorite matchups — it wins them all at roughly the same rate. 63% across 150 head-to-head matchups, steady regardless of round or opponent. Coogler working in genre territory carries the weight of a filmmaker whose previous credits command attention. The film is still building its constituency, but the director's name alone changes how voters evaluate it on the ballot. Voters pick in 1.7s on average — well under the 3.5s platform norm.
Synopsis
Trying to leave their troubled lives behind, twin brothers return to their hometown to start again, only to discover that an even greater evil is waiting to welcome them back.
Brackets are designed to expose weaknesses. Sinners at 64%, 58%, 67% doesn't have one to expose — consistent from the first matchup to the final.
At 54%, the matchup with Weapons is the tightest in Sinners's record — close enough to go either way. Against Dracula: A Love Tale, Sinners wins 86%. Not much of a contest. Bring Her Back at 75% is another comfortable win.
Top Horror Films of 2025: Sinners clears Frankenstein in the opening round and dispatches 28 Years Later at 73% in the final. A convincing start-to-finish run.
#2 of 8 in Top Horror Films of 2025.
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