Ballerina vs Heads of State is currently a dead heat at 50–50
Franchise spinoff and original action film — 2025 can't choose between them.
The Verdict Class of 2025
The tie at 50 to 50 strips the Wick brand from the equation and evaluates both films on pure action delivery, which is Heads of State's best possible outcome. Naishuller's film doesn't have the Continental, the choreographic heritage, or the built-in audience that Wiseman inherits. Parity here means Heads of State is matching a franchise spinoff on execution alone. At 54 votes, both films are proving they can generate engagement from different starting points — one from inheritance, the other from originality. The bracket treats them as equals. Whether the audience agrees depends on which camp grows faster.
The Numbers
| Ballerina | Heads of State | |
|---|---|---|
| Head-to-Head | 50% | 50% |
| Overall Win Rate | 54% | 46% |
| Championships | 12 | 8 |
| Avg Decision | 1.7s | 1.3s |
Where This Matchup Sits
Among 52 films from the 2020s on BingeBracket, Ballerina is in the top quarter and Heads of State is in the lower half.
Against shared opponents, Night Carnage splits them: Ballerina wins that matchup comfortably, while Heads of State can't get past it.
Neither film can claim a real advantage at 0 points apart. The deadlock itself is the story.
Within tournaments, the dynamic shifts as the bracket deepens: Heads of State performs better in later rounds while Ballerina fades when the competition narrows.
Where to Watch
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