Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 currently dominates Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 70–30
The battle of Hogwarts outperforms the road to it — the finale leads.
The Verdict Franchise Civil War
Snape's memories in the Pensieve — a single sequence that recontextualizes a character the audience thought they understood, delivered with the weight of seven films behind it. Part 2 earns that recontextualization from seven films' worth of accumulated performance, and the payoff is proportional to the patience. Part 1 built the road. Part 2 delivered what was at the end of it. The lead says the delivery outperforms the construction. The audience wants the destination more than the journey when the destination contains the battle of Hogwarts, McGonagall's statues, and the franchise's most emotionally devastating sequences.
The Numbers
| Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 | Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Head-to-Head | 30% | 70% |
| Overall Win Rate | 28% | 63% |
| Championships | 0 | 5 |
| Avg Decision | 1.9s | 2.4s |
| Budget | $250M | $125M |
| Box Office | $954M | $1.3B |
Where This Matchup Sits
Out of 34 2010s films on the platform, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 languishing near the bottom and Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 near the top at #2.
When facing other films on the platform, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 handles Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince without much trouble — but Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 doesn't. That shared opponent is one of the clearest places where these two films diverge.
Championship experience heavily favors Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 with 5 titles. Whether that translates to head-to-head dominance is what this matchup answers.
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 returned 10.7x its budget; Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 managed 3.8x. The film that overperformed commercially also takes the bracket matchup.
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Where to Watch
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