The Super Mario Bros. Movie currently dominates Sonic the Hedgehog 3 72–28
Nintendo's animated juggernaut routs the hedgehog's third lap.
The Verdict
Illumination's Mario film succeeds by doing exactly what the IP requires: bright colors, familiar characters, a plot that demands nothing beyond recognition of a mushroom and a plumber. That strategic simplicity generated $1.3 billion globally because it served the broadest possible audience without alienating any segment of it. Fowler's Sonic 3 has the Shadow the Hedgehog addition and Keanu Reeves's voice work, both effective, but the third film in a franchise carries obligations — continuity management, character development, audience expectations — that a first film's strategic simplicity doesn't. The gap says simplicity outperforms obligation when both are serving video-game IP.
The Numbers
| The Super Mario Bros. Movie | Sonic the Hedgehog 3 | |
|---|---|---|
| Head-to-Head | 72% | 28% |
| Overall Win Rate | 50% | 37% |
| Championships | 10 | 2 |
| Avg Decision | 1.6s | 1.5s |
| Budget | $100M | $122M |
| Box Office | $1.4B | $492M |
Where This Matchup Sits
In the 2020s on BingeBracket: The Super Mario Bros. Movie is in the upper half and Sonic the Hedgehog 3 is in the bottom quarter, out of 52 films.
Looking at shared opponents, Tin Soldier draws a line between them: The Super Mario Bros. Movie dominates that matchup, but Sonic the Hedgehog 3 comes out on the wrong side.
Round by round within tournaments, later rounds favor The Super Mario Bros. Movie while Sonic the Hedgehog 3 fades — the gap between them widens as the bracket deepens.
The championship record tells the same story: The Super Mario Bros. Movie has 10 tournament wins to Sonic the Hedgehog 3's 2. The pedigree gap matches the head-to-head gap.
Where to Watch
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