Tin Soldier currently beats Sonic the Hedgehog 3 63–37
The 2025 newcomer outruns the franchise hedgehog — an early upset signal.
The Verdict David vs Goliath
Tin Soldier beating Sonic 3 at 63 to 37 is the result that makes this matchup interesting rather than predictable. Fowler's franchise has commercial momentum and a cast designed to sell tickets, and it's losing to a film that had to earn every vote on its own terms. Furman's direction is leaner, less concerned with fan service, and apparently more effective at converting the voters who've seen both films. Whether this holds at scale is uncertain — franchise films often rally as sample sizes grow — but at 46 votes, the upset is real enough to note. The smaller film is landing punches.
The Numbers
| Sonic the Hedgehog 3 | Tin Soldier | |
|---|---|---|
| Head-to-Head | 37% | 63% |
| Overall Win Rate | 36% | 48% |
| Championships | 1 | 1 |
| Avg Decision | 1.0s | 0.7s |
| Budget | $122M | $45M |
| Box Office | $492M | $90K |
Where This Matchup Sits
In Action on BingeBracket: Sonic the Hedgehog 3 is in the bottom quarter and Tin Soldier is in the upper half, out of 38 films.
Elsewhere on the platform, they have a common problem — Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban beats both of them. Whatever else separates these two films, they share that one loss.
Tin Soldier has the lower TMDB score (4.9 vs 7.6), but voters here keep picking it. There's a difference between a film people respect and a film people reach for.
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 took in $492M at the box office; Tin Soldier earned $90K. But the bracket doesn't count dollars — it counts preference. And the preference goes to Tin Soldier.
Where to Watch
Availability may vary by region.
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