The Conjuring
41% across 69 head-to-head matchups is a tough number. The Conjuring hasn't built a fanbase strong enough to compete with what it's typically matched against, and the round data confirms it across every stage. Wan built a haunted-house film that trusts its audience enough to use silence as a weapon. The clapping game sequence alone justifies its bracket presence, and the Warrens as recurring protagonists gave horror something it rarely has — leads you want to follow into the next film. Fans deliberate — 7.9s avg vs 3.5s platform average.
Synopsis
Paranormal investigators Ed and Lorraine Warren work to help a family terrorized by a dark presence in their farmhouse. Forced to confront a powerful entity, the Warrens find themselves caught in the most terrifying case of their lives.
Below average at every stage. The opening at 47% come closest to competitive, but "closest to competitive" is the ceiling — the bracket doesn't get easier for The Conjuring at any point.
At 47%, the matchup with Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban is the tightest in The Conjuring's record — close enough to go either way. Toy Story at 27% is the toughest opponent in The Conjuring's bracket life. Avengers: Infinity War causes similar problems at 33%.
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