The Old Guard 2
The Old Guard 2 has an unusual bracket signature: modest early, strong late. The 38% overall rate hides a film that tends to peak exactly when the competition does. Sequels to streaming hits carry a specific disadvantage: the original surprised people, and the follow-up can't. Competent action choreography keeps it in play, but competence without novelty is a hard sell when the ballot offers something voters haven't already seen coming. Fans decide quickly — 1.5s avg vs 3.5s platform average.
Synopsis
Andy and her team of immortal warriors fight with renewed purpose as they face a powerful new foe threatening their mission to protect humanity.
Down to 24% in the semis, then 68% in the final. The Old Guard 2 finds something in the deepest rounds that the middle of the bracket doesn't bring out.
The matchup with Night Carnage is a genuine coin flip at 50% — neither film has found an edge. The extremes tell a clear story — 100% against The Ritual at one end, 7% against Terminator 2: Judgment Day at the other.
In 2025 Action Royale, The Old Guard 2 edges Heads of State 55–45% in round one, loses to Ballerina (25%) in the semifinals — reaching the semis but not the final.
#6 of 8 in 2025 Action Royale.
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