Ballerina currently dominates The Old Guard 2 82–18
Wick choreography routs the immortal-warrior sequel.
The Verdict Class of 2025
Wiseman's Ballerina inherits Stahelski's fight choreography — spatial clarity, long takes, balletic violence staged with the precision of the John Wick franchise that spawned it. Every fight is legible from first strike to last, the camera positioned to show the geometry of combat rather than hiding it in close-ups. Mahoney's Old Guard 2 has Theron's wearied physicality and a mythology about immortal warriors. The gap says inherited choreographic discipline outperforms character-driven combat mythology. The franchise with the better fight vocabulary is winning by the margin that vocabulary provides.
The Numbers
| Ballerina | The Old Guard 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Head-to-Head | 82% | 18% |
| Overall Win Rate | 58% | 37% |
| Championships | 20 | 13 |
| Avg Decision | 1.8s | 2.0s |
Where This Matchup Sits
Out of 61 2020s films on the platform, Ballerina at #10 and The Old Guard 2 is in the lower half.
Against shared opponents, The Accountant² splits them: Ballerina wins that matchup comfortably, while The Old Guard 2 can't get past it.
Round by round within tournaments, later rounds favor The Old Guard 2 while Ballerina fades — the gap between them widens as the bracket deepens.
Ballerina with 20 titles and The Old Guard 2 with 13 — the tournament record and the head-to-head point the same direction.
Think The Old Guard 2 deserves better?
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Where to Watch
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