Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban currently dominates Tin Soldier 77–23
Cuarón's Hogwarts reinvention devours the low-budget action film.
The Verdict Decade Duel
Cuarón arrived at the Harry Potter franchise and did something Columbus wouldn't have attempted: the Whomping Willow marking the passage of seasons in a thirty-second montage, the Dementor on the train with frost spreading across the window, Buckbeak's flight shot for the joy of it rather than the spectacle. Every formal choice announced that the franchise could grow up with its audience. Furman's Tin Soldier is working without any of that institutional support — no franchise, no effects budget, no built-in audience expecting a specific experience. The gap reflects the distance between a filmmaker transforming an institution and a filmmaker operating without one.
The Numbers
| Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban | Tin Soldier | |
|---|---|---|
| Head-to-Head | 77% | 23% |
| Overall Win Rate | 64% | 48% |
| Championships | 26 | 1 |
| Avg Decision | 4.5s | 0.7s |
| Budget | $130M | $45M |
| Return | 6.1x | 0.0x |
Where This Matchup Sits
On the platform, Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban sits at #7 in Adventure out of 41.
When facing other films on the platform, Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban handles A Nightmare on Elm Street without much trouble — but Tin Soldier doesn't. That shared opponent is one of the clearest places where these two films diverge.
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban with 26 titles and Tin Soldier with 1 — the tournament record and the head-to-head point the same direction.
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban earned 6.1x its budget; Tin Soldier returned 0.0x. The bigger commercial overperformer also wins the head-to-head.
Where to Watch
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