Wicked currently edges The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 55–46
Wicked's songs edge a Mario adventure still to come.
The Verdict David vs Goliath
This matchup has 11 votes. The picture may shift as more people weigh in.
A narrow lead for Wicked sets a known musical against a Mario adventure still finding its audience. Wicked has the showstopping songs and the emotional pull that swept older kids up, the kind of movie a family settles into for a big sing. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie carries the goodwill of the last Mario film — fast, funny, bright enough for the youngest viewers — and the affection fans hold for the Galaxy games. With one film established and the other brand new, a close result like this is really anticipation meeting a sure thing. Wicked edges it for now, though the Mario side has plenty of room to grow as more families weigh in.
The Numbers
| Wicked | The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | |
|---|---|---|
| Head-to-Head | 55% | 45% |
| Overall Win Rate | 56% | 45% |
| Championships | 6 | 3 |
| Budget | $150M | $110M |
| Box Office | $759M | $831M |
Where This Matchup Sits
In the 2020s on BingeBracket: Wicked at #10 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is in the lower half, out of 57 films.
Looking at shared opponents, Wicked: For Good draws a line between them: Wicked dominates that matchup, but The Super Mario Galaxy Movie comes out on the wrong side.
TMDB rates The Super Mario Galaxy Movie above Wicked (8.2 vs 6.9). This platform disagrees. The gap between mainstream reception and bracket preference is exactly 1.3 points wide.
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