Wicked currently dominates Wicked: For Good 74–27
The half with "Defying Gravity" pulls away from the half with the consequences.
The Verdict Director's Cut
Part one got the better deal. Chu's first film ends on "Defying Gravity," a number built to send an audience out levitating, and everything before it — the dorm-room enemies-to-friends turn, the Ozdust dance, the green-skin origin — is built to delight. Wicked: For Good inherits the back half of the stage show, where the songs are fewer and the story has to settle its debts. Splitting one musical across two films was a money decision with an artistic cost, and the cost landed on the sequel. The first film is all momentum and showstoppers. The second has to do the accounting, and accounting is a hard assignment to win in a room.
The Numbers
| Wicked | Wicked: For Good | |
|---|---|---|
| Head-to-Head | 74% | 26% |
| Overall Win Rate | 57% | 37% |
| Championships | 6 | 4 |
| Avg Decision | 1.9s | 1.7s |
| Budget | $150M | $150M |
| Box Office | $759M | $539M |
Where This Matchup Sits
Out of 104 Drama films on the platform, Wicked is in the top quarter and Wicked: For Good is in the bottom quarter.
Wicked is Jon M. Chu's #1 on the platform; Wicked: For Good is #2 out of 2.
When facing other films, both run into the same wall: Moana beats them both on BingeBracket, regardless of how they perform against each other.
Both films have real tournament credentials: Wicked with 6 titles and Wicked: For Good with 4. The championship pedigree is closer than the head-to-head suggests.
Think Wicked: For Good deserves better?
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