The Sure Thing and The American President are currently locked at 50–50
Two romances, ten years apart. Reiner's instinct hasn't changed.
The Verdict Director's Cut
Two Reiner romances separated by a decade, and the vote splits along a question the director himself probably couldn't answer: is the better version of his romantic instinct the one he made with nothing or the one he made with everything? The Sure Thing is leaner and funnier; The American President is grander and more eloquent. Neither approach concedes ground.
The Numbers
| The Sure Thing | The American President | |
|---|---|---|
| Head-to-Head | 50% | 50% |
| Overall Win Rate | 37% | 36% |
| Championships | 2 | 0 |
| Avg Decision | 2.9s | 3.0s |
| Budget | $5M | $62M |
| Box Office | $18M | $108M |
Where This Matchup Sits
The Sure Thing is in the bottom quarter of Comedy on BingeBracket; The American President struggles in Drama. Different categories, but both have standing in theirs.
From Rob Reiner's filmography of 8 on the platform, The Sure Thing at #7 and The American President at #8.
Against other opponents, one pattern stands out: Misery beats both of them. It's the one film that sits above this entire matchup.
A 0-point gap is as close to a tie as bracket voting produces. The result here says more about the moment than about either film.
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